Title: Swing State Polls Show Tight Race Between Trump and Harris
In a competitive landscape ahead of the 2024 election, recent polls reveal a neck-and-neck race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in key swing states. New data indicates that Harris has a slight advantage in the Great Lakes region and Nevada, while Trump maintains leads in Georgia and Arizona. Notably, the crucial state of Pennsylvania is nearly tied.
In Michigan, Harris shows strength with leads ranging from 51%-46% in a CES poll to 48%-43% in a CNN/SSRS survey, though Trump holds a narrow 49%-48% edge in an Emerson poll. In Wisconsin, Harris also edges ahead, with polls indicating a 50%-47% lead in CES, 51%-45% in CNN/SSRS, and an even split in a Quinnipiac poll.
Turning to Nevada, Harris leads Trump 51%-47% in CES polling, while Trump’s lead fluctuates in other surveys. Meanwhile, Arizona shows Trump with a 51%-47% advantage in CES polling, although other polls paint a mixed picture with tight margins. Georgia appears similar, where Trump generally leads, though there’s some polling indicating a potential tie.
Overall, Harris holds a marginal 1.3-point lead in the national polling average, according to FiveThirtyEight. This shift has unfolded notably since she became the Democratic nominee after President Biden’s withdrawal from the race in July, which has drastically changed dynamics, particularly in battleground states where Trump previously led.
As the campaign heats up, both candidates are poised to invest heavily in these pivotal states, each party’s strategy becoming increasingly important as the election approaches. Current polling indicates that both candidates remain deeply competitive in what could be a highly contested election season.
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